Search for: All records

Abstract It is not uncommon for layers within the warm conveyor belt in a frontal system to become potentially unstable, releasing elevated convection. The present study examines this destabilization process over complex terrain, and resulting precipitation, with a focus on the surface coupling, orographic ascent, and the initiation and evolution of convective cells. This study uses detailed observations combined with numerical modeling of a baroclinic system passing over the Idaho Central Mountains in the United States on 7 February 2017. The data were collected as part of the Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). Specifically, observations from a ground-based scanning X-band radar and an airborne profiling Doppler W-band radar along ~100 km long flight tracks aligned with the wind describe the development and evolution of convective cells above shallow stratiform orographic clouds. Convection-permitting numerical simulations of this event, with an inner domain grid resolution of 0.9 km, capture the emergence and vertical structure of the convective cells. Therefore, they are used to describe the advection of warm, moist air over a retreating warm front, cold air pooling within the Snake River Basin and adjacent valleys, destabilization in a moist layer above this shallow stable layer, and instability release in orographic gravity wave updrafts. In this case, the convective cells topped out near 6 km ASL, and the resulting precipitation fell mostly leeward of the ridge where convection was triggered, on account of strong cross-barrier flow. Sequential convection initiation over terrain ridges and rapid downwind transport led to banded precipitation structures. 

Abstract This study examines the mesoscale structure and evolution of a polar low associated with a marine cold-air outbreak (MCAO) on 2 April 2024 over the Norwegian Sea. As part of the Cold-Air Outbreak Experiment in the Subarctic Region (CAESAR), the National Science Foundation National Center for Atmospheric Research C-130 aircraft equipped with an array of in situ and remote sensing instrumentation, including profiling radars and lidars, traversed this polar low five times, yielding detailed vertical transects of clouds and precipitation. This polar low was rather shallow and formed in the wake (not at the leading edge) of an MCAO. Observations and output from an operational convection-permitting model reveal that the polar low developed in the lee of an island, Svalbard, under deep northerly flow that roughly aligned with surface-driven baroclinicity. The polar low was marked by a region of surface-driven, mostly open-cellular precipitating convection, and a separate region of deeper stratiform clouds driven by moist-isentropic ascent in an area of suppressed surface heat fluxes. The confluence of a cold air mass from the northeast, only briefly exposed to open water, with a more mature, warmer MCAO air mass with a deeper well-mixed boundary layer previously exposed to high surface heat fluxes over the Fram Strait led to convergent, cyclonically sheared boundaries with enhanced convection. These convergent boundaries emerged as cyclonic potential vorticity streamers generated frictionally by Svalbard’s terrain, became more intense by diabatic heating in clouds, and were transported downstream into the polar low. Significance StatementPolar lows are small, intense cyclones that may cause havoc with maritime transport and may bring strong winds and heavy snowfall to coastal areas. While they are most common across the far northern Atlantic Ocean, they also occur over other high-latitude oceans. Their predictability is hampered not only by the lack of measurements at high latitudes but also by a poor understanding of their vertical structure. An airborne field campaign was conducted in early 2024 to better understand clouds in marine cold-air outbreaks, including polar lows. This study combines profiling radar and lidar data collected aboard an aircraft with operational high-resolution model data to unveil fine-scale cloud and precipitation structures of a polar low in unprecedented detail. 

Abstract Cold-air outbreaks over high-latitude oceans typically include mixed-phase clouds and precipitation, in particular supercooled liquid clouds that support snow and graupel through ice growth processes. The partitioning of the total water into the liquid and ice phases impacts both weather and climate prediction, but accurate measurements on the phase partitioning remain difficult to acquire, especially near–real time. Here, we present a machine learning approach to retrieve liquid water path (LWP) using passive microwave measurements combined with vertically integrated radar reflectivities. The approach is an extension of Cadeddu et al. (2009), with the novel addition of radar reflectivity. The machine learning models are trained using the Passive and Active Microwave Radiative Transfer (PAMTRA) code applied to output from numerical simulations of three independent cold-air outbreaks sampled during the Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) campaign. Brightness temperatures corresponding to the four sidebands of an upward-looking G-band (183 GHz) vapor radiometer, along with the vertically integrated reflectivity from a zenith-pointing 95-GHz Wyoming Cloud Radar, are simulated from the perspective of a near-surface aircraft track. The radar reflectivity helps discriminate the snow contribution to the brightness temperatures. The machine learning models are thereafter tested on a simulation of an independent cold-air outbreak during COMBLE and against measurements from the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement North Slope of Alaska observatory. This machine learning approach is shown to provide robust, computationally efficient, near-real-time measurements of LWP and water vapor path during the Cold-Air Outbreak Experiment in the Sub-Arctic Region (CAESAR) campaign in February–April 2024. Significance StatementPrecipitation from mixed-phase clouds over the high-latitude open waters impacts shipping, fishing, and coastal communities. Mixed-phase clouds are also a modeling challenge, inhibiting weather and climate prediction skill. More comprehensive measurements of the cloud liquid and ice water path occupying the same vertical column improve our understanding and ability to represent this challenging cloud type. Here, we propose a new retrieval to determine the liquid water path within air columns that also contain ice. 

Abstract Airborne vertically profiling Doppler radar data and output from a ∼1-km-grid-resolution numerical simulation are used to examine how relatively small-scale terrain ridges (∼10–25 km apart and ∼0.5–1.0 km above the surrounding valleys) impact cross-mountain flow, cloud processes, and surface precipitation in deep stratiform precipitation systems. The radar data were collected along fixed flight tracks aligned with the wind, about 100 km long between the Snake River Plain and the Idaho Central Mountains, as part of the 2017 Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). Data from repeat flight legs are composited in order to suppress transient features and retain the effect of the underlying terrain. Simulations closely match observed series of terrain-driven deep gravity waves, although the simulated wave amplitude is slightly exaggerated. The deep waves produce pockets of supercooled liquid water in the otherwise ice-dominated clouds (confirmed by flight-level observations and the model) and distort radar-derived hydrometeor trajectories. Snow particles aloft encounter several wave updrafts and downdrafts before reaching the ground. No significant wavelike modulation of radar reflectivity or model ice water content occurs. The model does indicate substantial localized precipitation enhancement (1.8–3.0 times higher than the mean) peaking just downwind of individual ridges, especially those ridges with the most intense wave updrafts, on account of shallow pockets of high liquid water content on the upwind side, leading to the growth of snow and graupel, falling out mostly downwind of the crest. Radar reflectivity values near the surface are complicated by snowmelt, but suggest a more modest enhancement downwind of individual ridges. Significance Statement Mountains in the midlatitude belt and elsewhere receive more precipitation than the surrounding lowlands. The mountain terrain often is complex, and it remains unclear exactly where this precipitation enhancement occurs, because weather radars are challenged by beam blockage and the gauge network is too sparse to capture the precipitation heterogeneity over complex terrain. This study uses airborne profiling radar and high-resolution numerical simulations for four winter storms over a series of ridges in Idaho. One key finding is that while instantaneous airborne radar transects of the cross-mountain flow, vertical drafts, and reflectivity contain much transient small-scale information, time-averaged transects look very much like the model transects. The model indicates substantial surface precipitation enhancement over terrain, peaking over and just downwind of individual ridges. Radar observations suggest less enhancement, but the radar-based assessment is uncertain. The second key conclusion is that, even though orographic gravity waves are felt all the way up into the upper troposphere, the orographic precipitation enhancement is due to processes very close to the terrain. 

Abstract Properties of frozen hydrometeors in clouds remain difficult to sense remotely. Estimates of number concentration, distribution shape, ice particle density, and ice water content are essential for connecting cloud processes to surface precipitation. Progress has been made with dual-frequency radars, but validation has been difficult because of lack of particle imaging and sizing observations collocated with the radar measurements. Here, data are used from two airborne profiling (up and down) radars, the W-band Wyoming Cloud Radar and the Ka-band Profiling Radar, allowing for Ka–W-band dual-wavelength ratio (DWR) profiles. The aircraft (the University of Wyoming King Air) also carried a suite of in situ cloud and precipitation probes. This arrangement is optimal for relating the “flight-level” DWR (an average from radar gates below and above flight level) to ice particle size distributions measured by in situ optical array probes, as well as bulk properties such as minimum snow particle density and ice water content. This comparison reveals a strong relationship between DWR and the ice particle median-volume diameter. An optimal range of DWR values ensures the highest retrieval confidence, bounded by the radars’ relative calibration and DWR saturation, found here to be about 2.5–7.5 dB. The DWR-defined size distribution shape is used with a Mie scattering model and an experimental mass–diameter relationship to test retrievals of ice particle concentration and ice water content. Comparison with flight-level cloud-probe data indicate good performance, allowing microphysical interpretations for the rest of the vertical radar transects. 

Abstract Kelvin-Helmholtz (KH) waves are a frequent source of turbulence in stratiform precipitation systems over mountainous terrain. KH waves introduce large eddies into otherwise laminar flow, with updrafts and downdrafts generating small-scale turbulence. When they occur in-cloud, such dynamics influence microphysical processes that impact precipitation growth and fallout. Part I of this paper used dual-Doppler, 2D wind and reflectivity measurements from an airborne cloud radar to demonstrate the occurrence of KH waves in stratiform orographic precipitation systems and identified four mechanisms for triggering KH waves. In Part II, we use similar observations to explore the effects of KH wave updrafts and turbulence on cloud microphysics. Measurements within KH wave updrafts reveal the production of liquid water in otherwise ice-dominated clouds, which can contribute to snow generation or enhancement via depositional and accretional growth. Fallstreaks beneath KH waves contain higher ice water content, composed of larger and more numerous ice particles, suggesting that KH waves and associated turbulence may also increase ice nucleation. A Large-Eddy Simulation (LES), designed to model the microphysical response to the KH wave eddies in mixed phase cloud, shows that depositional and accretional growth can be enhanced in KH waves, resulting in more precipitation when compared to a baseline simulation. While sublimation and evaporation occur in KH downdrafts, persistent supersaturation with respect to ice allows for net increase in ice mass. These modeling results and observations suggest that KH waves embedded in mixed-phase stratiform clouds may increase precipitation, although the quantitative impact remains uncertain. 

Abstract This observational study documents the consequences of a collision between two converging shallow atmospheric boundaries over the central Great Plains on the evening of 7 June 2015. This study uses data from a profiling airborne Raman lidar (the Compact Raman Lidar, or CRL) and other airborne and ground-based data collected during the Plains Elevated Convection At Night (PECAN) field campaign to investigate the collision between a weak cold front and the outflow from a MCS. The collision between these boundaries led to the lofting of high-CAPE, low-CIN air, resulting in deep convection, as well as an undular bore. Both boundaries behaved as density currents prior to collision. Because the MCS outflow boundary was denser and less deep than the cold-frontal airmass, the bore propagated over the latter. This bore was tracked by the CRL for about three hours as it traveled north over the shallow cold-frontal surface and evolved into a soliton. This case study is unique by using the high temporal and spatial resolution of airborne Raman lidar measurements to describe the thermodynamic structure of interacting boundaries and a resulting bore.